2024 NFL Week 7 Betting: Ravens-Buccaneers, Cardinals-Chargers Odds, Picks, Lines

The final day of Week 7 gives way to a Monday Night Football doubleheader featuring some of the NFL's most dynamic offensive players. In the first game of the evening, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, who are riding a four-game winning streak, face Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN/ABC/ESPN+). The Ravens are the current favorite to win the AFC North at -275, while the Buccaneers have +105 odds to win the NFC South, just behind the Atlanta Falcons. The Ravens are +300 to win the AFC, behind only the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (+185). Tampa Bay has longer odds to win the NFC (+1400). The Ravens started the game at -4.5 before seeing some movement to -3.5 early Monday; the total remained the same at 50.5.

In the second game, Justin Herbert, JK Dobbins and the Los Angeles Chargers face Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. (9 p.m. ET on ESPN+). The Cardinals are 2-4 (third in the NFC West) while the Chargers have a record of 3-2 (second in the AFC West). The line for the West Coast prime time game started at Chargers -2.5 but has since moved to Chargers -1.5 before kickoff. The total remains at 42.5.

Here's everything you need to know to bet on Week 7's Monday Night Football doubleheader, with best bets from Eric Moody and Seth Walder.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Ravens vs. Buccaneers

Spread: Ravens -3.5
Money line: Ravens (-200), Buccaneers (+170)
Over/Under: 50.5

Distribution in the first half: Ravens -2.5 (-120), Buccaneers +2.5 (Even)
First half moneyline: Ravens (-175), Buccaneers (+135)
Ravens total points: O/U 26.5 points (over -130/under even)
Buccaneers Total Points: O/U 22.5 points (over -125/under -105)

Chargers vs. Cardinals

Spread: Chargers -1.5
Money line: Chargers (-120), Cardinals (+170)
Over/Under: 44.5

Distribution in the first half: Chargers -0.5 (+102), Cardinals +0.5 (-125)
First half moneyline: Chargers (-120), Cardinals (-105)
Chargers Overall Score: O/U 22.5 points (over -115/under -115)
Cardinals total points: O/U 21.5 points (over -110/under -120)

The props

Ravens vs. Buccaneers

Passing by

Baker Mayfield's total passing yards: 249.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Mayfield's total passing TDs: 1.5 (above -125/below -105)
Lamar Jackson total passing yards: 224.5 yards (over -110/under -120)
Jackson's total passing TDs: 1.5 (above -110/below -120)

Rush

Derrick Henry Total Rushing Yards: 79.5 (Over -140/Under +110)
Jackson's total rushing yards: 49.5 (above -120/below -110)
Bucky Irving's total rushing yards: 39.5 (Over +115/Under -145)
Rachaad White Total Rushing Yards: 24.5 (above -135/below +105)
Mayfield Total Rushing Yards: 14.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Reception

Chris Godwin receiving total yards: 79.5 (above +110/below -140)
Zay Flowers receiving total yards: 59.5 (above -130/below even)
Mike Evans total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Cade Otton total receiving yards: 39.5 (above -105/below -125)
Rashod Bateman's total receiving yards: 34.5 (above -125/below -105)
Mark Andrews total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -110/below -120)
Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (above -135/below +105)
Nelson Agholor total receiving yards: 19.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Total white reception yards: 19.5 (Over +110/Under -140)

Chargers vs. Cardinals

Passing by

Kyler Murray Total Passing Yards: 249.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Murray's total passing TDs: 1.5 (above -125/below -105)
Justin Herbert's total passing yards: 224.5 yards (over -110/under -120)
Herbert total passing TDs: 1.5 (above -110/below -120)

Rush

JK Dobbins TTotal Rushing Yards: 79.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
James Conner Total Rushing Yards: 59.5 (above -120/below -110)
Murray total rushing yards: 29.5 (above -135/below +105)
Herbert total rushing yards: 14.5 (above -105/below -125)

Reception

Marvin Harrison Jr. total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -140/below +110)
Ladd McConkey receiving total yards: 49.5 (above -140/below +110)
Trey McBride total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -115/below -115)
Michael Wilson total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -130/below even)
Will Dissly receives total yards: 24.5 (above -125/below -105)
Dobbins total receiving yards: 14.5 (above -135/below +105)
Conner's total receiving yards: 14.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Tips for the games

Ravens vs. Buccaneers

Ravens -3.5.

Eric Moody: Baltimore has been solid as an away favorite, covering the lead in each of its last four games. The Ravens' offense, powered by Lamar Jackson and a dominant rushing attack, leads the NFL in rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay's defense struggled to allow the seventh-most yards per game and consistently fell short on third downs – an area where Baltimore thrives. Although the Buccaneers have exceeded expectations so far this season, the Ravens are on a four-game winning streak and boast one of the most efficient offenses in the league. Baltimore is well positioned to close the gap in a demanding away duel.

Mayfield over 1.5 passing touchdowns.

Moody: The Ravens' secondary was a weakness, and opposing teams took full advantage of it. Mayfield is in a great position to do the same, especially with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, one of the best wide receiver duos in the league. The Ravens' defense has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers, and Mayfield has hit the over on passing touchdowns in four of his six games this season. Baltimore's defense has also allowed quarterbacks 1.8 passing touchdowns per game, making this bet even more attractive.

Over 49.5 points.

Moody: That's a high number for this matchup, but both the Ravens and Buccaneers are offensive giants and are in the top 5 in points scored per game. Baltimore has reached the over in five of its last six games, while Tampa Bay has done the same in five of its last seven games. Jackson and Mayfield will be busy Monday night.

Chargers vs. Cardinals

Harrison Jr. 80-plus receiving yards (+250)

Seth Walder: That's a narrow value for me, but my alternative receiving yards model gives a fair price of +216. The core of the model and the argument for the bet is that not all receiver yardage distributions are the same. And a key factor in this case is the type of routes Harrison runs: 47% of his routes are vertical routes, the seventh-highest rate among qualified wide receivers. We can simultaneously assume that Harrison's center line (49.5) is efficient and that he can provide value at 80+ yards because we take advantage of the additional variance receivers gain from running deep routes.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

Ravens vs. Buccaneers

• Lamar Jackson is 27-12-2 ATS on the road in his career, including 19-5-1 ATS when he didn't score at least 4.5 points.

• The Buccaneers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog since taking over for Baker Mayfield last season, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. They are 2-2 overall and are home underdogs ATS during this time.

• Lamar Jackson is 15-7 ATS in primetime games. Baker Mayfield is 5-9 ATS in primetime games (1-2 ATS for the Buccaneers). Mayfield is 1-5 ATS on Monday Night Football (0-5 ATS in the last five games).

• The Overs are 5-1 in Ravens games this season, including 3-0 on the road. Three Buccaneers games in a row have exceeded the total.

• The primetime unders are 81-52-1 over the last three seasons.

Chargers vs. Cardinals

• The Chargers are 4-1 ATS this season, including 3-0 ATS as a favorite. Since 2022, the Chargers are 9-3 ATS and are considered road favorites.

• The Unders are 4-1 in Chargers games this season. The Unders are 6-1 in their last seven games and 15-5 in their last 20 games.

• Kyler Murray is 15-22 ATS in his home career. Justin Herbert is 20-13 ATS in his road career.

• The primetime unders are 81-52-1 over the last three seasons.

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