Lauren Boebert's old district is on the verge of being recaptured by a Democrat

Editor's Note: This article was written after Cook Political Report noted on its website that Colorado's 4th Congressional District was shifted to the “lean Republican district.”

The political forecaster has since corrected an error in its original update. Cook predicts a greater chance of a Democratic victory in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, Boebert's old district – not the 4th Congressional District, where she is now running.

Boebert won the 3rd District in 2022 by just 546 votes. Her then Democratic challenger Adam Frisch is running again in this election against Republican Jeff Hurd.

Could Representative Lauren Boebert actually lose her seat in the House of Representatives? Current surveys show that this could be possible.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report reported Friday that Boebert has lost ground in Colorado's 4th Congressional District, changing the race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.” Although the MAGA Republican still has a small lead, that appears to be largely due to the district's heavily Republican makeup rather than Boebert's tactful campaigning.

The Republican congresswoman barely defended her seat in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District in 2022, winning by just 546 votes. After that narrow victory and after she became the center of a national scandal because of her behavior during a performance of BeetlejuiceBoebert unexpectedly switched to run in the neighboring 4th district.

Their goal is to fill the seat vacated by Republicans Representative Ken Buck who retired this year. At the time of her announcement, Buck didn't have many kind words for Boebert, who he said made “George Santos look like a saint.”

Boebert will face the Democrat on Tuesday Trisha Calvaresea first-time candidate who attacked the Republican on IVF and veterans' rights.

And although Republicans make up nearly 34 percent of registered active voters in the conservative stronghold — while Democrats hold just 15 percent of the electorate — that wasn't the case for Boebert generally accepted in Colorado's 4th

“As a Christian, I don't appreciate it when people say they're Christian to get your vote and then turn out to be an underworlder and now I just think they're an underworlder,” one voter said The Wall Street Journal Earlier this year. While some Republicans said they would hold their noses despite Boebert's “antics” just to avoid voting for the Democrat, but that may not be the case for everyone.