Fox News predicts Democrats will retain a key seat in battleground Michigan

The Fox News Decision Deck expects Democrats to retain a crucial Senate seat in battleground Michigan, in a hard-fought and expensive race that has attracted a lot of national money and attention.

Three-term Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin will defeat former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers in the race to succeed Sen. Debbie Stabenow, a Democrat who has held the seat for nearly a quarter-century.

The race was one of the few across the country that could determine whether Republicans regain the Senate majority in the 2024 elections.

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Representative Elissa Slotkin of Michigan speaks onstage during the final day of the Democratic National Convention at the United Center on August 22, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images) (Chip Somodevilla)

Rogers is a former FBI special agent who later served as chairman of the House Intelligence Committee during his term in Congress. Rogers, a former GOP critic of former President Trump who was considering his own run for the White House in 2024, became a strong supporter of the Republican presidential nominee and won his support.

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Slotkin also has a background in national security. She worked for the CIA and at the Pentagon before winning election to Congress.

Former Rep. Mike Rogers, the Republican Senate candidate in Michigan, speaks at a Trump campaign rally headlined by his running mate, Sen. JD Vance, in the Byron Center, Michigan, on August 14, 2024 (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

In a contest in Michigan, both campaigns, party committees and outside groups poured millions of dollars into the race.

Get the latest updates on the 2024 election, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital Election Center.