Prediction, lineups and odds for Nashville SC vs. DC United

We predict a close affair

United have a great chance against Nashville and we will be on the visitors' side with the Asian handicap. It's worth taking the 1.88 with a +0.25 goals advantage, meaning our bet is split between 0 and +0.5.

United defeated Nashville in their last meeting

Nashville SC were defeated in their last game, on their trip at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution picked up a 1-0 win. The Coyotes recorded just 39% possession and had four shots on goal.

DC United played Columbus Crew in their last home game. It was a 2-2 draw at Audi Field. Troy Lesesne's side had just 44% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Christian Benteke scored twice.

The last time United met Nashville, the former won. The score at Audi Field was 2-1. Looking back at the last seven H2H meetings, there were two draws. Nashville won four games and United won one.

Nashville SC – Last 10 league games

Nashville has 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, an average of 0.7 goals on 3.4 shots on goal and 5.9 attempts. The Tennessee franchise averaged 44.3% possession, 427.1 passes and 4.2 corners per game and conceded 2.0 goals and 4.4 corners on 5.7 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.

Top scorer Sam Surridge scored four times, with Alex Muyl, Hany Mukhtar and Tyler Boyd scoring once each. Hany Mukhtar and Teal Bunbury are the top creators with two assists each.

DC United – Last 10 league games

United have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 9.4 attempts and 5.7 shots on target. On average there was 48.3% ball possession, 392.1 passes, 4.0 corners in their favor and 4.9 corners against them, while they conceded 2.4 goals on 8.6 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

Christian Benteke is the top scorer with 7, Gabriel Pirani with 3 and Martin Rodriguez and Cristian Dajome with 2 each. Look no further than Theodore Ku-DiPietro for the top assist provider (4) in the last 10 games .

Confirmed lineups

Nashville SC (confirmed roster): Joe Willis, Shaq Moore, Walker Zimmerman, Jack Maher, Daniel Lovitz, Jacob Shaffelburg, Patrick Yazbek, Anibal Godoy, Alex Muyl, Hany Mukhtar, Sam Surridge.

DC United (confirmed line-up): Alex Bono, Christopher McVey, Lucas Bartlett, Matti Peltola, Aaron Herrera, Jared Stroud, Dominique Badji, Martin Rodriguez, Mateusz Klich, Theodore Ku-DiPietro, Christian Benteke.

Expert MLS analysis

The first stop is to look at the team messages for each page and then scroll through the form guide. We use this information and apply it to the latest statistics available to make a judgment.

Key league stats Nashville SC vs. DC United:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by United in 4 of the last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by United in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line has not been covered by Nashville in 4 of the last 5 home games.
• The -0.25 line has not been covered by Nashville in 8 of the last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line was not covered by Nashville in two consecutive games.

United +0.25 to the Asian handicap seems a sensible play at a price of 1.88. They should be able to handle a loss in this MLS game and we are confident the away team can pull out a win.

If you want to increase your odds on United covering the line, then consider a bet builder that allows multiple picks for the same game to be combined together.

United +0.25 probability

Looking at the current odds, our selection has a 53.3% chance of winning. In our opinion, the probability of success is actually around 60%. This bet can therefore be accepted with confidence.