LA Dodgers vs. NY Mets NLCS Game 4 Prediction: Odds, expert picks, pitching matchup, trends and stats

In a season filled with injuries to their pitching staff, the LA Dodgers have relied on Shohei Ohtani and their offense to win games. Last night in Game 3, Ohtani and the bats were front and center again, but along with some tremendous pitching, they helped the Dodgers to an 8-0 victory and a 2-1 lead in the NLCS series.

One of three home runs the Dodgers hit that night, Ohtani's 3-run shot in the 8th^Th inning secured the victory. Max Muncy and Enrique Hernandez also went for yards for LA, but among those hits they lost the bigger key to victory – Walker Buehler's performance on the mound. In his first start since allowing 6 runs in 5 innings against the Padres in the Divisional Round, Buehler pitched 4 innings of electrifying 3-hit shutout ball. When you add to the equation that Bühler hasn't shut out opponents since his appearance on May 18, the appearance takes on more significance. The Mets loaded the bases with one out in the 2nd minute^nd inning, but Buehler struck out Francisco Alvarez and Francisco Lindor to end the potential threat.

Michael Kopech threw the 5th^Th for LA and took the win. Kopech was picked up from the Chicago White Sox at the trade deadline and has yet to give up a run in 4.1 innings this postseason. Luis Severino took the loss for the Mets. He gave up 2 unearned runs on 3 hits in 4.2 innings.

Game 4 is Thursday night at Citi Field in Queens. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-0, 5.63) takes the ball for the Dodgers. Jose Quintana (0-0, 0-00) gets the nod for the Mets.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know before the game, including the latest on how to catch the first pitch, the scheduled pitching matchup, current team performance, player stats and of course our predictions, tips & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Dodgers @ Mets – Game 4

● Date: Sunday, October 17, 2024
● Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
● Location: Citi Field
● City: Queens, NY
● TV/Streaming: FS1

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Dodgers @ Mets Game Odds – Game 4

The latest odds from Thursday morning:

● Moneyline: New York Mets (+115), Los Angeles Dodgers (-135)
● Spread: Mets +1.5 (-155), Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
● Overall: 7

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Likely starting players for Dodgers @ Mets – Game 4

● Pitching matchup on Thursday (October 17): Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. Jose Quintana

○ Mets: Quintana – has yet to score an earned run in two postseason starts. Pitched 6 innings of 4-hit ball against Milwaukee in the Wild Card Round and 5 innings of 2-hit ball against the Phillies in the Divisional Round.

○ Dodgers: Yamamoto – shot at in his 1st^st Postseason appearance giving up 5 runs in 3 innings but bounced back and was outstanding last Friday, throwing 5 innings with 2 hits, shutout ball and a few strikeouts.

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Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Dodgers @ Mets – Game 4

• The Dodgers pitching staff has posted four shutouts in the last five games
• The Mets have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games with Jose Quintana on the mound.
• The Mets' last three games have been BELOW overall, with Jose Quintana on the mound.
• Shohei Ohtani is 6-8 with runners on base in the playoffs with 1 HR and 6 RBIs.
• This is the 4th^Th Postseason meeting between the Dodgers and the Mets. LA won the NLCS in 1988, while the Mets won the division series in 2006 and 2018.

Playoff history for New York and Los Angeles

• Mets: New York now holds an overall record of 57-43 in postseason history. They won the World Series in 1969 and 1986. They lost the Series in 2000 (Yankees) and 2015 (Royals).
• Dodgers: LA owns an all-time playoff record of 11,553-10,211. They have won 7 World Series titles – 1959, 1963, 1965, 1981, 1988 and 2020.

If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today's schedule, check out our MLB Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Expert tips and predictions for Game 4 of the NLCS between New York and Los Angeles

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Our model calculates predictions for every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we place its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to determine a relative confidence level for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for Game 4 between the Mets and Dodgers:

• Money line: NBC Sports is staying away from a game on the money line
• Spread: NBC Sports is leaning toward a game against the Dodgers on the run line
• Total runs: NBC Sports recommends a game with Total OVER 7 Runs

Want even more best MLB bets and predictions from our team of experts and tools? Check this out Expert MLB Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today's calendar!

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