New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians odds, tips and predictions

The New York Yankees And Cleveland Guardians meet on Friday in Game 4 of the best-of-7 ALCS. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV/Max). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's 24/7 MLB odds Yankees vs. Guardians Opportunities and meet our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALCS: Yankees lead 2-1; The Yankees won the regular season 4-2

New York lost its first game of the series on Thursday with a 7-5 loss in the tenth inning as a -102 underdog. CF Aaron Richter (1 for 5, 2 RBIs) and DH Giancarlo Stanton (1-for-3, 1 RBI) hit back-to-back homers off All-Star RP in the 8th inning Emmanuel Clase to give the Yankees a temporary 4-3 lead.

5-3 deficit, Guardians RF Jhonkensy Noel hit a pinch-hit 2-run HR with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th to extend the game for Cleveland. With 2 outs and 1 on in the bottom of the 10th, 1B David Fry punched the Guardians (-106) tickets with a walk-off 2-run home run to left-center field.

The Yankees scheduled starters at the Guardians

RHP Luis Gil vs RHP Gavin Williams

Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) made 29 regular-season starts. The rookie had a WHIP of 1.19, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 151 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 9-4 home setback to the Pittsburgh Pirates on September 28th
• 2024 vs. Guardians: 0-0, 1 home start (August 20), 3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 3 K in 9-5 loss in 12 innings
• Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 6 H, 10 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Williams (3-10, 4.86 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a WHIP of 1.37, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 76 innings.

• Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in a 2-1 loss at the St. Louis Cardinals on September 22nd
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 1 road start (August 22), 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-0 loss

Yankees at Guardians odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Lines were last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Guardian +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Yankees tips and predictions at Guardians

forecast

Yankees 5, Guardians 3

Money line

HAPPEN.

The Yankees' run line offers better value.

Running Line/Against the Spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+145).

New York had a clear advantage in this series, scoring 5 or more runs in each game, while Cleveland scored 3 or fewer in 2 of the 3.

Cleveland was able to get past its home crowd on Thursday, but it won't be able to do that on Friday. With Gil on the mound, you can expect the Guardians to struggle offensively.

Each of New York's last three wins have been scored by two or more runs.

Over/Under

Lean over 7.5 (-115).

The Yankees have a strong offense. They have scored 5 or more runs in 3 straight games and are 5-3-1 O/U in their last 9 games.

Cleveland may not be able to keep up on Friday, but it is expected to score enough points to clinch the outright win. It has scored 3 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games.

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