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Mavericks vs. Suns prediction, tips and NBA odds

Mavericks vs. Suns prediction, tips and NBA odds

The Western Conference champion Mavericks started their season at home on Thursday and took on a potentially tired Suns team tonight. The residual disadvantage is just one of the reasons Quinn Allen favors Dallas in his NBA picks.

Quinn Allen – Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Oct 26, 2024 • 10:19 ET

• 4 min reading

The Phoenix Suns will be in action tonight at the end of a back-to-back home game against the Dallas Mavericks after losing to the Los Angeles Lakers.

My predictions for Suns vs. Mavericks see the visitors taking advantage of their rest day and putting on an impressive performance in the desert.

Read on for my NBA picks for Saturday, October 26th.

Mavericks vs Suns Prediction

My best choice
Mavericks -2.5 (-108 on FanDuel)

My analysis

The Dallas Mavericks looked solid in their season opener, beating Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs by a score of 120-109. Luka Doncic scored 28 points while Klay Thompson added 22 in his Dallas debut.

Jason Kidd's team made it to the NBA Finals earlier this year for good reason. This is a very good team and the addition of Klay makes them even better. Dallas had Friday off to travel to Arizona and prepare for Saturday's game. However, the Phoenix Suns had to travel home after their game against the Lakers and will hardly have time to recover.

That will undoubtedly play a role, but what do the numbers say?

The Mavericks won two of three meetings with Phoenix in 2023/24 and easily made up both victories. The Suns also barely allowed LA to shoot over 50% from 3-point land, and as we know, Dallas relies heavily on the triple.

I expect the Mavs to get hot from here and take home their second win of the season.

Mavericks vs. Suns, Match Game (SGP)

FanDuel logo

Mavericks -2.5

Klay Thompson Over 15.5 points

Luka Doncic made threes over 3.5

Thompson shined in his first Mavs game on Thursday, showing exactly why the franchise decided to sign him in free agency. The sharpshooter dropped 22 points in just 26 minutes of action and broke a franchise record in his debut by hitting six of his 10 triples.

We've seen what Klay can do during his days in the Bay Area. Thompson is still one of the best shooters around and really knows how to score at a high level of basketball. Sure, he may be the third option in Dallas behind Doncic and Kyrie Irving, but he'll still do his part.

While he averaged just over 12 ppg in four games against Phoenix a season ago, Klay has averaged 19.7 points in his career against the Suns. That's enough for me to take the over.

Doncic was a strong MVP candidate in '23-24, averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds while shooting 38.2% from distance. I'm going to focus on his threes here.

The Slovenian superstar averaged 10.6 treys per contest and drained 4.1 treys last year. In the first game of the season, Luka shot 4-for-11 from distance.

In three games against Phoenix last season, Doncic averaged a whopping 41.7 points and six triples on 12.7 attempts. The 25-year-old dominates when playing against this Western Conference rival, so look for Luka to turn the lights off.

Learn how to place a bet in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Mavericks vs Suns odds

Mavericks vs Suns live odds

Get the latest Mavericks vs Suns NBA odds.

Mavericks vs. Suns opening odds

  • Spread: Dallas -2.5 | Phoenix +2.5
  • Money line: Dallas -134 | Phoenix +121
  • Over/Under: Over 232.5 | Below 232.5

Mavericks vs. Suns spread and over/under analysis

  • Dallas had an impressive ATS of 60-43-1 last season and was well placed in the home opener.
  • Phoenix, on the other hand, only covered 41.7% of its games. They are off to an 0-2 start this year.
  • The Over has scored in four consecutive meetings.
  • Dallas is 1-0 to the over this season while Phoenix is ​​2-0.

Mavericks vs Suns trend

The Mavs have covered 37 of their last 56 games (+17.20 units / 28% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Suns.

Information about the Mavericks vs. Suns game

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
Tip: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: KFAA, KTVK

The latest Mavericks vs. Suns injuries

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