New polls show Kamala Harris' chances of winning North Carolina

Polls suggest the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is still too close in North Carolina with less than a week remaining until Election Day.

Forecasters and pollsters expect Trump to have a slight lead over the vice president in the Tar Heel State. The Republican narrowly won North Carolina in both the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Harris and Trump will campaign in North Carolina on Wednesday as the presidential candidates try to attract voters in the key battleground state. Both Trump and Harris could reach 270 Electoral College votes in the November election if they win the three swing states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgia, barring any surprise results elsewhere.

Newsweek emailed the Trump and Harris campaigns seeking comment.

An AtlasIntel poll of 1,665 likely voters in North Carolina showed Harris with a 0.5 percentage point lead over Trump in a neck-and-neck race, 48.9 percent to 48.4 percent. In an expanded vote that also includes Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, the pair are nearly tied at 48 percent.

The poll was conducted between October 25 and 29 and the results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

A Trafalgar Group poll showed Trump with a three-point lead over Harris in North Carolina, 49 percent to 46 percent. The poll of 1,091 likely voters was conducted Oct. 25-28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percent.

A Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll shows Trump leading in North Carolina at 48 percent, with Harris ahead at 46 percent. The poll of 770 likely voters was conducted Oct. 25-27, with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

The polling group emphasized that Trump and Harris' poll numbers were either the same or within the margin of error in each of the seven major swing states they surveyed.

Poll aggregators and forecasters point to Trump's average polling number slightly ahead of Harris in North Carolina.

According to 538, Trump has an average lead of 1 point over Harris in the battleground state as of Wednesday.

Pollster Nate Silver, who founded 538 and now uses a similar forecasting model for his Silver Bulletin blog, says Trump is ahead of Harris by an average of 1.1 points in North Carolina.

Decision Desk HQ/The Hill shows Trump leading the vice president by an average of 1.4 points.

The Decision Desk HQ/The Hill forecasting model also gives Trump a 54 percent chance of winning the Nov. 5 election — 65 percent in North Carolina — but the race overall is still essentially a back-and-forth .