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Current polls on Harris vs. Trump

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Current polls on Harris vs. Trump

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Election Day is just three days away and presidential polls continue to point to a tight race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

National polls provide a snapshot of the national electorate, and some recent polls suggest Trump may be ahead. Meanwhile, an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk poll showed Friday that Harris and Trump are tied in Pennsylvania, the swing state with the most electoral votes. But the Electoral College system means the race will likely be decided by seven battleground states.

Both Harris and Trump will appear at events in North Carolina – one of those swing states – on Saturday. Trump has appearances scheduled in Charlotte and Greensboro as well as Salem, Virginia. Before an event in Charlotte, Harris will appear at an afternoon rally in Atlanta – Georgia is also a swing state.

Here are the latest polls that shed light on where the race stands.

Summary of the 2024 election: Democrats attack Trump's “violent rhetoric.”

Latest Washington Post poll: Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in Pennsylvania

In a new Washington Post poll of likely voters and registered voters in Pennsylvania, another swing state, Harris leads Trump by one percentage point. Harris is at 48% among both likely and registered voters in the poll released Friday, while Trump is at 47% — statistically a dead heat with a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points.

The poll of 1,204 registered voters, conducted Oct. 26-30, also gave respondents a choice between a third-party candidate.

The new poll also found high voter enthusiasm among both parties in the state, critical to each candidate's path to victory. Twenty percent of respondents said they had already voted, while another 73 percent said they were sure they would vote, “which, after rounding the percentages, comes to 94 percent of the electorate,” according to the Post.

According to the Forbes/HarrisX poll, Harris leads Trump nationally and in swing states

According to a HarrisX/Forbes poll released Thursday, Harris leads Trump among likely voters nationally, 49% to 48%, and has the same narrow lead in the seven battleground states.

The poll of 4,523 registered voters and 3,718 likely voters — 910 in battleground states — was conducted Oct. 27-29 (margin of error: ±1.5 percentage points).

Harris' lead in the battleground states has narrowed based on a HarrisX/Forbes poll released a week earlier; At that point, Harris had a 50% to 46% lead. The latest poll found some voters are still undecided, with 10% of likely voters and 16% of all registered voters still weighing their decisions.

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Detroit Free Press Poll: Harris in Michigan

Harris leads Trump in Michigan in a new Detroit Free Press poll released Friday. The poll of 600 likely voters polled Oct. 24-28 showed Harris leading 48% to 45%, with a margin of error of ±4 points. The Detroit Free Press is part of the USA TODAY Network.

One interesting finding from the poll: The number of respondents who were undecided was less than 1%, which pollster Bernie Porn of EPIC-MRA, the Lansing, Mich., research firm that conducted the poll, said he wasn't sure about sure if he had seen that before. “It’s an unusual choice,” he said.

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Trump is ahead in Florida, according to the latest Stetson poll results

Trump leads Harris in Florida in a new poll from the Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research released Friday. The poll of 452 likely voters, surveyed Oct. 25-Nov. 1, showed Trump leading Harris 53% to 46%, with a margin of error of ±5%.

That's a margin higher than the 51.2% of the state's vote that Trump received in the 2020 presidential election and 49% of the vote in the 2016 election.

MassINC Poll: Harris is doing well in Massachusetts

In the blue state of Massachusetts, Harris appears to be receiving the same support that President Joe Biden and candidate Hillary Clinton received from voters in the 2020 and 2016 elections, according to MassINC Polling Group's latest survey of Massachusetts voters released Friday emerges.

Harris leads Trump 61% to 31% in the poll, based on polling from Oct. 29 to Nov. 29. 1 poll of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts (margin of error of ±4.9 percentage points). In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden received 65.9% of the state's vote, compared to 32.1% for Trump. In the 2016 election, Clinton won 61% to Trump's 33.3%.

A note about the survey

Margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

If a candidate's lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump's performance.

Contributors: Kinsey Crowley, Savannah Kuchar and Sam Woodward, USA TODAY; and Reuters.

Follow Mike Snider on X and Threads: @mikesnider & Mikegsnider.

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