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Eli Lilly stock plunges toward its worst day since 2000 on disappointing earnings and Zepbound sales

Eli Lilly stock plunges toward its worst day since 2000 on disappointing earnings and Zepbound sales

Topline

Drugmaker Eli Lilly's stock price plunged Wednesday morning after the company reported worse-than-expected third-quarter results, particularly in its weight-loss drug division, in a rare misstep for the Wall Street darling.

Important facts

Shares of Eli Lilly fell about 14% within 15 minutes of the market open, tumbling toward the stock's worst daily percentage decline since its 31% loss on August 9, 2000 and the third-worst day for the company since July 1972.

Wednesday's plunge came as Eli Lilly's results, released around 7 a.m. EDT, were overall worse than analyst expectations, led by third-quarter sales of $11.4 billion (5% below forecasts of $12.1 billion US dollars, according to FactSet) and earnings per share of $1.18 (23% below forecasts of $1.45).

Key to the disappointing results were weaker-than-expected sales of Eli Lilly's GLP-1 drug tirzepatide, which is sold under the brand names Mounjaro for type 2 diabetes and Zepbound for weight loss.

Mounjaro's revenue was $3.11 billion in the most recent quarter, well below estimates of $3.77 billion. Zepbound's revenue of $1.26 billion came in below estimates of $1.73 billion, a disappointment of more than 20% for the company's GLP-1 grade.

And perhaps more crucially for investors, Eli Lilly shared its forecast for full-year results that came in below Wall Street's consensus as the company's forecast revenue of $45.4 billion to $46 billion in 2024 fell short It fell short of average forecasts of $46.2 billion and adjusted its median forecast of $13.27. Earnings per share fell short of estimates of $13.42.

What you should pay attention to

Eli Lilly will host its third quarter earnings conference call at 10 a.m. EDT.

Big number

110 billion dollars. About that much of Eli Lilly's market value was wiped out on Wednesday. That's more than the entire company was worth $93 billion at the end of 2017.

Cons

Despite Wednesday's cool response, Eli Lilly shares are up 33% year-to-date and a staggering 590% over the past five years. The lower-than-expected profit of $13.27 per share would still represent more than 100% year-over-year earnings growth, suggesting that heaven is in store for the pharmaceutical company, which also produces drugs like the diabetes drug Humilin and Trulicity, as well as the erectile dysfunction drug Cialis, isn't exactly collapsing.

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