Knicks vs. Pacers Prediction: Odds, expert picks, projected starting lineup, betting trends and stats

The New York Knicks opened their season in disappointment by losing by 25 points (132-107) to the defending champion Celtics on ring night in Boston. On the other hand, Indiana was behind for most of the game, but managed a comeback that earned them a season-opening win on the road in Detroit (115-109).

The Indiana Pacers continue their short two-game road trip with the New York Knicks on Friday. These teams met in the Eastern Conference semifinals and the Pacers won by 21 points in Game 7 in New York after trailing 2-0 in the series. This is the first meeting between the two since Game 7.

With that said, let's dive into the matchup and offer some information and maybe a sweat or two.

We've got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest on how to secure your first pick, projected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, tips and best bets for the game our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Pacers @ Knicks

● Date: Friday, October 25, 2024
● Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
● Location: Madison Square Garden
● City: New York, NY
● TV/Streaming: ESPN

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Pacers @ Knicks odds

The latest odds from Friday:
● Moneyline: New York Knicks (-205), Indiana Pacers (+170)
● Spread: Knicks -4.5
● Total: 227

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Expected starting lineups for Indiana and New York

Indiana Pacers (1-0)

PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith
PF Pascal Siakam
C Myles Turner

New York Knicks (0-1)

PG Jalen Brunson
SG Mikal Bridges
SF Josh Hart
PF OG Anunoby
C Karl Anthony Towns

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Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Celtics @ Wizards

· Indiana won two of three regular season meetings and the seven-game playoff series against the Knicks last year, six of the last ten meetings in total.
· Teams that lost to their opponent in their previous playoff meeting are 70% in the ML and 53% in the ATS (favoring the Knicks).
· The Pacers have lost 7 of their last 10 road games in the regular season
· In the Pacers' last five road games and the Knicks' last five home games combined, the over is 7-3
· The Knicks are 0-1 ATS and 1-0 over the season.
· The Pacers are 1-0 ATS (covered by 0.5 points) and 1-0 under.

If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today's schedule, check out our NBA Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Notable player props for Pacers @ Knicks

High point props

Jalen Brunson O/U 28.5 points
Karl-Anthony Towns O/U 21.5 points
Pascal Siakam O/U 19.5 points

Highest rebound props

Karl-Anthony Towns O/U 11.5 rebounds
Josh Hart O/U 8.5 rebounds
Pascal Siakam O/U 7.5 rebounds

Highest assist props

Tyrese Haliburton O/U 8.5 assists
Jalen Brunson O/U 7.5 assists
Andrew Nembhard O/U 4.5 assists

Expert picks and predictions for Pacers @ Knicks

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NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) wants the Knicks to win at home and Jalen Brunson has a night:

“The Knicks will want to get back at the Pacers after New York's Game 7 home loss to Indiana last season. That was a bad end to the season in New York (21-point loss) and the Knicks felt adding Karl-Anthony Towns to the mix would solve some problems.

While New York was blown out by Boston in the season opener, I appreciate the motivating factor and home-field advantage for the Knicks to win outright.

Jalen Brunson averaged 29.7 points per game against the Pacers in the playoffs last year, including 26-plus in five of seven games, and he dropped 28, 39 and 40 points in three regular-season meetings.

I like Brunson to score 25+ points in the same game and the Knicks ML at -110 odds. You can probably get the New York ML live in game for a better price than -205 odds or -4.5 spread.

Our model calculates predictions for every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, injuries and schedule.

Once the model is finished running, we place its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to determine a relative confidence level for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Pacers and the Knicks:

· Money line: NBC Sports leans towards the value of Indiana's ML (+165)
· Spread: NBC Sports leans toward taking the points with Indiana
· In total: NBC Sports is leaning towards a game with a total score of OVER 227 points

Want more NBA best bets and predictions from our team of experts and tools? Check this out EXPERT NBA Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today's calendar!

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· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)