San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction, preview and picks for October 24, 2024

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, October 24, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

Odds/point distribution: San Antonio (+7.5)

The San Antonio Spurs (22-60 last season) travel to American Airlines Center on Thursday where they will try to beat the Dallas Mavericks (50-32 last year). Dallas opens this contest as a 7.5-point favorite among Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under was set at 229.5.

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The Spurs took on the Pistons and earned victory with a final score of 123-95 in their last game. In terms of personal fouls, the Spurs left the arena with 18, while the Pistons recorded 18 personal fouls. They also failed on 8 of their 33 3-point attempts. Detroit managed to shoot 75.0% on free throws, making 15 of their 20 attempts. Additionally, Detroit grabbed 42 rebounds (4 offensive, 38 defensive) and added 5 blocked shots. Detroit had a total of 16 dimes and 10 steals for the contest. On defense, San Antonio allowed its opponents to hit 39.1% from the floor on 36 of 92 shots. They also had 27 assists, forced 17 turnovers and had 11 steals in the game. They scored a total of 57 points in rebounds, 13 of which were on offense. The Spurs made 10 of their 14 shots from the charity stripe, a rate of 71.4%. San Antonio finished the game with a 53.8% FG percentage (49 of 91) and converted 15 of its 34 3-point shots.

Sandro Mamukelashvili is one of the players who was instrumental in this game. Mamukelashvili ended up scoring 53.8% and dished out 1 assist. He played 26 minutes and also grabbed 8 boards. He finished with 18 points on 7 of 13 shooting.

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San Antonio will play this game after finishing last season with a 22-60 record. They averaged 112.1 points per game (23rd in basketball) while shooting 46.2% from the floor. The Spurs shot 34.7% on three-point attempts (1,036 of 2,983) and 78.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, San Antonio collected 44.2 boards per game and collected 2,449 dimes last season, which ranked 2nd in the league in passing the ball. They turned the ball over 15.1 times per game and committed 17.2 fouls every night as a basketball team.

Defensively, the Spurs forced 13.4 turnovers per game and drew 17.9 personal fouls. They ranked 24th in basketball with 2,296 goals conceded last year. The Spurs defense allowed a 48.7% field goal percentage (3,684 of 7,570) and gave up 45.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They shot 37.3% from distance and ranked 24th in the NBA in opponents' points per game (118.6).

In their last game, the Mavericks suffered a loss to the Celtics with a final score of 106-88. The Mavericks were able to grab 28 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in the matchup. They also gave up the ball 9 times and had 9 steals in the game. The Celtics picked up 20 fouls in this game, which gave the Mavericks 13 free throw attempts. They were able to make 7 of the free throws, which corresponds to a rate of 53.8%. When shooting from distance, Dallas made 11 of 37 attempts (29.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks shot 35 for 78 from the floor, a 44.9% shooting percentage. The Mavericks allowed the Celtics to convert 38 of 89 field attempts, giving them a shooting percentage of 42.7% for the game. They finished the game shooting 33.3% from behind the 3-point line, making 13 of 39, and finished 17 of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). As for the way they cleaned up the glass, Dallas allowed Boston to score a total of 51 points (15 on offense).

Luka Doncic was a key factor for the Mavericks in this contest. Doncic scored 28 points and had 5 assists in his 43 minutes of play in the contest. He made 12 of 25 shots for the match, for a field goal percentage of 48.0%, and grabbed 12 rebounds.

Dallas had a win-loss record of 50-32 last season. The Mavericks committed 18.3 personal fouls each game and hit 75.8% from the charity stripe. They assisted their teammates 25.7 times per game (19th in the league) and lost the ball through turnovers 12.5 times per game. Dallas scored 9,664 points (117.9 per game) and grabbed 42.9 rebounds per game over the course of last year. On the offensive side, the Mavericks shot 48.1%, ranking 11th in the league.

The Dallas defense shot 36.8% from beyond the arc (1,075 of 2,921) and opponents scored on 77.0% of their foul shots. They averaged 27.5 assists and 45.1 total shots per game, ranking 22nd and 25th in the league. The Mavericks defensively ranked 20th in the NBA in PPG Survived with 115.6. They forced 13.7 turnovers per game and allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (20th in the NBA).

Who will win the NBA game against the spread tonight?

Guy Bruhn's pick: Take Dallas (-7.5)

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