Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Tips 9/29/24

Boston Red Sox betting preview

The Boston Red Sox are 80-81 this season and have lost three straight games. Boston lost the first two games of this series, scoring three runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two of three games against the Blue Jays, won two of three games against the Twins, and lost two of three games against the Rays. Boston is 4-5 in its last nine games and is tied for third place in the AL East.

Boston's pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense scored 746 runs with a .252 batting average and .319 on-base percentage. Jarren Duran is hitting .286 with 21 home runs and 75 RBIs for the Red Sox this season.

Start pitcher

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 8-7 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over 126.0 innings this year. Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Quinn Priest, who has yet to pitch for the Red Sox since moving from the Pirates.

Why the Rays will beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven games against the Rays at Fenway Park following a home loss.
• The Rays have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have failed to reach the run line after losing at home in each of their last 12 games against the Rays at Fenway Park.

Facts about total runs

• Six of the Rays' last seven games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the run total.
• Four of the Red Sox' last five games against AL East opponents were UNDER the run total.
• The Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 Runs market has been successful in each of the Rays' last nine Sunday games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O'Neill has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jarren Duran has scored at least one goal in each of his 11 previous Sunday appearances against AL teams with a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has singled in five of the Red Sox' last six games.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of his last two home games against the Rays.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous Sunday appearances against AL teams with a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays player prop facts

• Josh Lowe has scored at least one run in six of the Rays' last eight games at Fenway Park.
• Josh Lowe has scored at least one hit in each of the Rays' last eight road games against the Red Sox.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded a single in each of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Rays' last 10 games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
• Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of his last two road games against AL opponents with a losing record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays' last eight games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

These two teams enter this game tied for third place in the AL East, but both are eliminated from postseason contention. The Red Sox have a 37-43 home record this year, while the Rays have a 38-42 road record. Boston hasn't officially announced their pitching plans for this game yet, so it's hard to say which direction they'll go. The Rays are expected to have Ryan Pepiot in the starting lineup, who has been very good for the Rays all season. Get the win against the Rays here.