The biggest box office battle of 2024 is a neck-and-neck race, with early tracking data showing one film has a slight lead

The first dates for the 2024 box office battle between Evil And Gladiator II was revealed. Evil is an adaptation of the popular Broadway musical of the same name, telling half of the musical's story, with Part 2 coming at a later date. Evil Featuring a main cast including Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Michelle Yeoh and Jeff Goldblum. Gladiator II is the sequel to Ridley Scott's 2000 historical epic gladiator. The main cast includes Pedro Pascal, Paul Mescal, Denzel Washington and Joseph Quinn.

Data from puck now reveals where Evil And Gladiator II Standings for the 2024 box office race. The data captured both audience interest and awareness of some of the remaining 2024 releases and provided these values as the percentage of respondents interested in or aware of these films. According to this survey Gladiator II And Evil have almost identical interest rateswith the former holding 49% and the latter 50%. Evil Places higher than Gladiator IIhowever, in relation to consciousness. 50% of people responded that they were aware of it Evil whereas only 43% knew about it Gladiator II.

2024 box office prediction data from The Quorum/Puck

What this data means for The Wicked & Gladiator II's box office battles

Wicked has a better chance of success

Gladiator II And Evil have the same release dateNovember 22nd, making this date the Barbenheimer event of 2024. Two very different films competing against each other Evil And Gladiator II The battle bears numerous similarities to that of Barbenheimer. Gladiator II And Oppenheimer are both historical dramas by auteur-directors Evil And Barbie are both IP-based films with a female-dominated target group. That's comparable Evil vs. Gladiator II to Barbenheimer, leading to another fascinating showdown at the box office.

A composite image of Russell Crowe's Maximus from Gladiator over an image of Paul Mescal

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At this point, Evil scored more points than Gladiator II in both success metrics. Now, its one percentage point win over the Scott film doesn't mean it will win at the box office. These poll metrics are just a way to predict box office results, not an absolute measure of who will win. Evil has significantly more awareness than Gladiator IIHowever. This could change with an advertising push in the next few weeks, but as more people find out about it Evilthe film has a larger potential audience.

What we think will win in Gladiator II vs. Wicked

The Wicked musical was recently released as the original Gladiator.

What fascinates me most about the data Evil And Gladiator II is the fact that Evil however, has managed to gain more notoriety Gladiator II is a follow-up film. Part of this could be due to timeliness, as the musical only premiered recently gladiatorand the increase in consciousness Evil's connection to The Wizard of Oz. Either way, I think the popularity of the stage musical is due to its family friendliness Eviland set early forecast data Evil pretty far ahead in this box office race.