UMass Minutemen vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, November 2, 2024 College football tips, best bets and odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 2, 2024

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC NETWORK

Odds/point distribution: Bulldogs (-18.0)

Total/Over-Under: 59

At Davis Wade Stadium, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-7) will take on the UMass Minutemen (2-6) on Saturday, November 2, 2024. Mississippi State opens this game as an 18.0-point favorite by Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 59.

The UMass Minutemen enter this game 2-6 this year. In their last game, the Minutemen played against the Wagner Seahawks and won with a final score of 35-7. In total, they ran 45 plays, giving them a total of 326 yards. The UMass Minutemen ran the football 27 times and gained 197 yards, giving them an average of 7.3 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Minutemen gained 162 yards on 50 attempts, which equates to 3.2 yards per run given up. UMass received 5 completions on 9 attempts for a total of 56 yards and a 55.6% completion rate.

When it comes to getting to the end zone, the UMass Minutemen are averaging 19.1 PPG. As a team, they average 136.3 yards in the running game, which ranks 91st nationally. The Minutemen have earned 2,641 total yards this campaign. In terms of getting to the end zone, UMass has scored 8 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns on the ground. UMass has accumulated 149 1st downs as a team and committed 61 offenses for 526 yards. They gave the ball away seven times.

The Minutemen rank 103rd nationally in opponent scoring, allowing 30.0 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 170.5 yards on the ground per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 1,364 yards via the running game in 8 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Minutemen have given up 1,260 yards, which ranks them 10th in D-1. They gained 157.5 yards per pass through the air and posted a 56.9% completion rate. For the season, they are giving up 328.0 yards/contest, which ranks them 36th in the country. They have allowed 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 17 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 1-7 this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs lost 58-25 to the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Bulldogs finished the contest with 471 yards rushing in 73 plays (6.5 yards per game). Mississippi State ran the ball 3.9 yards per attempt and finished the contest with 162 yards on 42 attempts. Mississippi State allowed 37 attempts on the ground for 359 yards (9.7 yards per rush). The Bulldogs' pass defense allowed a 79.3% completion rate and gave up 314 yards on 23 of 29 passes.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 390.5 yards per game, good for 70th in the country. Mississippi State's offense has resulted in a total of 490 yards of penalty on 54 infractions, good for 39th in the nation in margin of error. They average 131.1 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for a total of 1,049 yards. They have thrown 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 7 fumbles, and they have recorded 171 first downs. In terms of their ability to score, the Bulldogs rank 75th in D-1 with an average PPG of 27.1. So far this campaign, the Bulldogs have accumulated 2,075 yards passing, in addition to an average of 259.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 42nd nationally.

Mississippi State has allowed 1,706 total yards on the ground this year (213.3 yards per game) and 17 rushing touchdowns. They have allowed 18 touchdowns through the air and 264.4 yards per outing, which ranks them 116th in college football. They have recovered 4 fumbles and had 6 picks this season. The Bulldogs defense has played in 557 games, ranking 115th in D-1. The Bulldogs are giving up 36.4 points per game, which ranks them 125th in D-1. In total, they submitted a total of 291 points.

Who will win the Minutemen/Bulldogs college football game against the spread tonight?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -18.0

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